Europeans pessimistic on Ukraine's chances of victory: survey

President Vladimir Putin meets with Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu at the Kremlin in Moscow on February 20, 2024. Picture: Alexander KAZAKOV / POOL / AFP

President Vladimir Putin meets with Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu at the Kremlin in Moscow on February 20, 2024. Picture: Alexander KAZAKOV / POOL / AFP

Published Feb 21, 2024

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Only 10% of Europeans believe Ukraine can defeat Russia on the battlefield, according to a survey released Wednesday ahead of the second anniversary of the war.

The European Council on Foreign Relations poll comes as Kyiv has acknowledged facing frontline difficulties and doubts swirl over Western backing.

The survey conducted last month across 12 EU countries showed that on average 20% of those asked believed Russia could win, and 37% thought the conflict would end in a compromise settlement.

Perceptions differed between countries with respondents in Poland, Sweden and Portugal most upbeat on Ukraine's chances at 17% and people in Hungary and Greece the least optimistic.

According to the survey, 31% said Europe should support Ukraine to retake territories captured by Russia, while 41% said it should push Kyiv to negotiate.

Support from Ukraine's other major backer, the United States, remains in doubt as a $60 billion aid package remains stuck in Congress.

Republican White House frontrunner Donald Trump - who looks set to face off against President Joe Biden at November elections - has criticised further support for Ukraine.

Asked if Europe should ramp up its backing for Ukraine if a future US leader pulled the plug, 20% of respondents said raise it and 21% said it should stay as it is.

Thirty-three percent of those surveyed said that Europe should follow the US lead by cutting aid and pushing Ukraine to strike a deal with Russia.

IOL