Former Brazilian President, Jair Bolsonaro’s son, Eduardo Bolsonaro accused Inacio Lula Da Silva and his government of actively using state resources to persecute his father. Eduardo had provided this information to the Trump administration, which has been in support of Jair Bolsonaro before and during Bolsonaro’s tenure as president. The Brazilian body politic has become increasingly polarised–particularly on the left-right axis aligning either to the left or right. There has always been considerable influence from the United States (US) on Brazil and the broader Latin American world. The US has historically favoured the “right” in a bid to strengthen its influence within the Latin American region. Currently, the modern economic warfare and tariff challenges between Brazil and the US signals a continuation of this.
A history: Bolsonaro to convict
Bolsonaro is currently facing charges alleging his involvement in plotting and attempting a coup d'état. These charges include seven retired army generals If found guilty at the Supreme Court, Bolsonaro could face up to 43 years in prison. Those right spectrum supporters are using this possible conviction to their advantage citing a witch hunt to silence the right and those who oppose the “leftist” Workers’ Party (PT). This sentiment gains considerable traction in the Trump administration, as Trump positions himself as the saviour of the true right–which is a beacon of hope for Bolsonaro supporters in Brazil.
Historically, Brazil has had a consistent theme running through it politically. First, there are the actors, these are: the US; the right and its support; the left and its support. Second, the US almost always supports the right in Brazil and it is often owed largely to the lefts’ proximity to non-western actors like China & Russia. Third, a history of exile and imprisonment of political opponents remains. Lastly, the Brazilian political landscape is more sensitive regarding economic difficulties like recessions. This was seen with leaders throughout, irrespective of where they sit on the political spectrum.
Tariffs and Proxy wars
With rising tensions between Trump and the rest of the world, so too does its Global South neighbour–Brazil-experience these tensions. Trump has requested reciprocal tariffs on imports to the United States. With this Trump singled out Brazil signalling a 2.5% ethanol tariff, compared to an 18% rate levied by the Brazilian government. Additionally, Trump has also emphasised the roll-out of tariffs based on currency devaluation. With particular emphasis on Brazil, its proximity to China and its de-dollarisation efforts, the US has hardened its stance against the country stating that any country trying to move from the dollar dominant system will face economic and diplomatic repercussions.
A new age
Global shifts are being felt the world over, dividing nations and countries in categories: for Trump and the rest. Trump is the poster child for things many people, groups, and incumbent leaders think but fail to vocalise. Trump rallies the support he receives on this basis both domestically and internationally. Old friends seemingly become foes. This is demonstrated by the alternate directions between the European Union (EU) and the US. Similarly, the latest disagreements between Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy. Conversations are now struck between old foes, seen by Trump and his meetings with the Russians regarding the war in Ukraine among other things. Tensions between Iran and the US are increasing, strong US backing for Israel remains, yet Ukrainian backing dwindles.
The lifespan of BRICS has been misunderstood and to a large extent misjudged. The grouping have become increasingly important in the international arena, with BRICS+ expanding beyond traditional borders, utilising each others’ strengths in trade, diplomacy, technology, and many other facets. Emphasising mutuality, and culture to culture cooperation the grouping has been a great support for those nations that may feel marginalised within the global economic system.
Brazil has played a fundamental role in BRICS+ and has become one of the central targets of the US, largely due to its geographical proximity to the US. With the perpetual involvement of the US in Brazilian politics, the country’s national interest will often be misdirected to the interests of the US and the right.
Written By
*Dr Iqbal Survé
Past chairman of the BRICS Business Council and co-chairman of the BRICS Media Forum and the BRNN
*Cole Jackson
Lead Associate at BRICS+ Consulting Group
China & South American
**The Views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of Independent Media or IOL.